- Conservatives: 49% (up 2)
- Labour: 27% (down 1)
- Lib Dems: 9% (up 1)
- Ukip: 6% (down 2)
- Greens: 3% (down 1)
According to Martin Boon, ICM’s director, the poll is "remarkable and historic". He says:
"Not only is the lead an outright record for any ICM poll, but the Conservative share is a record in the Guardian/ICM series."The polling figures are at odds with last week's local elections but it is not the size of a sample that matters but how representative it is. The local elections may have been a large sample of voters but it does not mean they are representative and additionally there is evidence to suggest that how people vote locally is not how they would vote nationally.