Electoral Calculus Projection Increases Tory Majority to 178

Electoral Calculus have updated their UK general election forecast based on polls over the last week.

This gives the Tories a much bigger majority but there is a view that they received a bounce in support after calling the election and this may not be sustained.  The latest poll in today's Times shows a fall in the Tory lead. Their figures are:

Con        45%(-3)
Lab         29%(+4)
LDem      10%(-2)
UKIP        7%(+2)