Skip to main content

Electoral Calculus Projection Increases Tory Majority to 178

Electoral Calculus have updated their UK general election forecast based on polls over the last week.

This gives the Tories a much bigger majority but there is a view that they received a bounce in support after calling the election and this may not be sustained.  The latest poll in today's Times shows a fall in the Tory lead. Their figures are:

Con        45%(-3)
Lab         29%(+4)
LDem      10%(-2)
UKIP        7%(+2)